Can I bet on how many hurricanes there will be in 2024?
Yes, you can bet on how many hurricanes there will be in 2024. Kalshi offers prediction markets in a variety of related events, including this one for whether there will be more than six Atlantic Hurricanes in 2024 (currently with an implied likelihood of 35%): https://kalshi.com/markets/hurctotmaj/number-of-major-hurricanes Other than election markets, I expect weather markets to be one of the fastest grwoing segments of the prediction market ecosystem over the next couple of years.
By the way, buying at $0.35 seems like a pretty good idea, with a Beryl providing an early start to the Atlantic hurricane season, and unusually warm water temperatures in key location at the present time.
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