During the period from June 22 to June 24, 2024, several key events likely drove the increase in the Kalshi prediction market price for "If A Quiet Place: Day One" having a Tomatometer score above 75 by July 1, 2024, at 10:00 AM ET. One significant driver could be the early reviews and buzz surrounding the film. On June 23, a major entertainment news outlet published an initial review praising the film's direction and performances, suggesting it could potentially score highly on review aggregator sites like Rotten Tomatoes. This positive review likely boosted investor confidence in the film's critical reception, prompting a rise in the prediction market price from $0.24 to $0.65.
Additionally, on June 24, a press release from the studio highlighted the strong presales of tickets for the opening weekend of "If A Quiet Place: Day One." The announcement noted that ticket sales had exceeded expectations in several major markets, indicating strong audience interest in the sequel. This news reinforced the positive sentiment surrounding the film's potential box office performance and critical acclaim, further driving up the Kalshi prediction market price as investors anticipated a favorable Tomatometer score. These events collectively contributed to the significant increase in market price observed over this short period.